Trump loses; Biden will be president
Given that Trump won the previous round with a random victory and a lack of votes, this time I feel more emphatic that he will not be able to win the election. Of course, Biden's coming to power could have a positive impact on the international arena, but it does not seem to have much of an impact on Iran-US international and bilateral relations.
According to the International Iranian Stone Exhibition, Fereydoun Majlisi has conducted an interview with Arman Melli newspaper, the details of which are read below:
How do you assess the current situation of the Borjam agreement, the approach of the parties to this agreement, and the fact that the United States is pursuing the issue of extending the arms embargo on Iran, contrary to Resolution 2231?
I believe we can say why Trump is acting against the signed principle. Because Mr. Obama, the former US president, signed the agreement and Trump uses some of his personal methods in the name of the United States, but in principle, it remains to be seen what Burjam negotiated for. What is clear is that Iran was in a very difficult economic situation and international sanctions. Six resolutions were issued, leading to further Iranian military action. Realizing this, Iran began negotiations to prove that it did not intend to build a nuclear weapon. Finally, with all these issues, the BRICS, which was and is an effective international agreement, was concluded, and the parties to this agreement, from European and Asian countries to the United States, adhered to it. This process continued until Mr. Trump took office, and countries were living up to their commitments under the BRICS. But Trump's coming to power in the United States changed the situation, and with the withdrawal of the United States from this agreement, not only was Borjam overshadowed, but with the return of sanctions and the threat of other countries not to have relations with Iran, our country interacted with many countries. The economic and commercial spheres are in trouble. Regarding the arms embargo on Iran and the date of its end, Iran's defense power and capability led the United States to turn to Trump's new logic. In other words, they think that Iran's defense capabilities are worrying for various countries, including their allies. While Iran's defense power is only to deter and defend the country. This excuse has led the Americans to seek an extension of the arms embargo on Iran. Of course, it is important for Iran to be able to buy and sell weapons like other countries. However, the Americans wanted to continue the sanctions on Iran, and other countries have accepted the sanctions out of fear of the United States and not jeopardizing their own interests. It seems that if the arms embargo is lifted, it will not make much difference because we still need economic exchange to buy and sell, but as we all know, our country does not have enough relations with influential banks. However, on the day the sanctions end, the Security Council will not comply with US demands. As in the last meeting of the Security Council, which was held remotely, these issues were raised but not approved.
Recently, in a virtual conversation with an international audience, our former Foreign Minister stated that the new world order will no longer be Western; Given the presence of different powers in different parts of the world, how do you analyze this statement?
It is very natural that the United States will no longer be the only power in the world. However, it constitutes about 5% of the world's population, has many opportunities and will always be considered as one of the strongest countries in the world. But it is clear that larger countries such as China, Russia and India will also enter power. That is, the world will no longer be governed by the unipolarity to which the Americans became accustomed after the fall of the Soviet Union and saw themselves as observers. The cost of continued global domination has left the United States far behind many countries, especially in the fledgling Asian countries, in terms of the costs it incurs to maintain its military dominance. Because they spend a lot of money on their development. On the other hand, among the Arab countries, a country like the United Arab Emirates, despite its small size, has now become a power. Arab countries like the UAE will be under American domination for a while, but when a great nation becomes a power scientifically, culturally, socially, militarily, economically and industrially, then it will have more independence. Therefore, we will have a great Arab power in the Middle East in the future. Countries like Iran, if they can not establish a respectful alliance with Turkey, Iraq and some other countries, may be left alone. On the other hand, the United States, as the largest world power among these powers, has to be more defensive and try to make the most of these favorable opportunities for its industrial and economic development. If not, when America's economic strength weakens, its military strength will automatically weaken and weaken. Of course, they have enough experts to identify America's flaws. The wealth of this country is such that it will not remain as the only powerful country in the world, but for a long time it will remain as the most powerful country in the world among the powerful.
Many argue that given that China will be an influential world power in the future, communication with this country can be full of benefits for our country; With this analysis, how do you see the 25-year contract between Iran and China?
Of course, I do not understand the meaning of the fact that some people are looking to the East. Looking to the East once had an ideological dimension. The world was divided into communist, developmental, and capitalist worlds, and countries might have to use some form of rival umbrella to protect themselves. But this is not the case now. Sometimes one should not be deceived by wishful thinking. China's largest customers in the region are Arab countries, some of which do not have very friendly relations with Iran. Next to Pakistan, with a population more than twice as large, Iran is China's main customer. There is a huge Chinese investment in the port of Gwadar. It is paying attention to these issues that makes China want to leave more important and bigger friends for the sake of Iran. It is as if since last year, the Chinese, except for the complex systems of purity that make purchases against Iran's demands, and the market is also the market of the seller's country; They have not had such banking relations with our country. It should also be noted that it would be in the interest of our country to be supported by a strong and large world country? This is not a 25-year contract, but a dominant memorandum of understanding that Iran has had trade relations with China more than any other country in the world for the past 25 years, although 25 years is a long time, both in China and in Iran can have thousands of things that are unpredictable today.
How do you see the 20-year contract with Russia?
The deal with Russia is less effective than with China, because Russia will become a major industrial power in the distant future. Now, due to the abuses that took place there after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia could not achieve the economic development it could. I mean, if Iran wants to do business with Russia, it has to consider what to give and what to take. It is not possible to make a significant economic exchange by selling kiwis and oranges. The Caspian Sea has a huge potential that can attract billions of dollars and rubles. So this trade should not be limited. Russia is still not in a position to meet Iran's industrial needs. Iran is a country that wants industrial development and needs to develop its own infrastructure. Therefore, neither the Russians tried to show themselves as an industrial country in Iran, nor did the Iranians know about Russia's capabilities. It will take time for the Russians to reach mutually beneficial relations with Iran. Of course, Russia is the country that built Iran's first steel plant, so it can be expected that it will show these facilities in other fields and also be able to trade in rubles and rials. Until the two countries reach this level, exchanges will be limited.
Some believe that many issues in the field of the international system, especially the UN Security Council, are waiting for the US elections, and if Joe Biden becomes president, the situation will change and everything will return to normal; How do you analyze this issue from an international perspective?
In America, the ground will be ready for understanding and interaction. With the change in Iranian policy after Borjam and some internal currents did not reject this agreement despite the fruits of Borjam, I do not think that even with Biden coming to power, anything special will happen in Borjam and Iran-US relations. Because there is no difference between Biden and Trump with the views that prevail in Iran. Of course, there are different opinions about the US presidential election. In the past, I have predicted that Mrs. Clinton will become president. It is as if he won more than 3 million more votes than Trump in the whole election. This shows that Trump won with a win due to electoral division. The reason for the lack of victory was that Mrs. Clinton could not win the votes of the left wing of the Democratic Party, the supporters of Bernie Sanders, and they prepared the ground for Trump's victory by force in the elections. But this time, Mr. Sanders fully supports Biden, and it also depends to some extent on who Mr. Biden elects as his deputy. We are talking about a female deputy who, in any case, sees Biden's chances in this term more than Mrs. Clinton in the previous round. I see Trump's chances are much lower than his chances in the previous round of US elections. Given that Trump won the previous round with a random victory and a lack of votes, this time I feel more emphatic that he will not be able to win the election. Of course, Biden's coming to power could have a positive impact on the international arena, but it does not seem to have much of an impact on Iran-US international and bilateral relations.
It has recently been suggested that Trump is seeking to resurrect the Corona vaccine to the American public to use as a campaign and election victory; Can such a thing fundamentally change the way we look at Trump?
I do not think Trump can win for himself with the vaccine, because the vaccine belongs to the American scientific community and is essentially free of Republican affiliation. Incidentally, if this vaccine is discovered and presented, the Democratic Party will celebrate that day as well, and it will take this issue into account more than Trump, who is a commoner and did not show any readiness to fight from the beginning and did not care about it. The American people know Trump and have seen his actions, so such issues will have no effect. For Trump, there are no unforeseen actions other than war. Trump is in a state of despair as he tries to delay the election and change the type of e-election so that Democrats are less likely to run in the polls. The only danger that comes from such a person and is encouraged by the Zionist regime and some Arab states is to start a big war against Iran, perhaps thinking that in a war situation the president can win the nation's votes in order to arouse national feelings. Hope to get popular votes in the upcoming elections.